Mukul Agrawal Deepens Bets on HCC and Capacit'e Infraprojects in Q4 FY26

Veteran investor Mukul Agrawal added nearly 60 lakh shares of Hindustan Construction Company and 4.5 lakh shares of Capacit'e Infraprojects in the January-to-March quarter of FY26, pushing his stakes higher in both smallcap construction firms. The purchases, valued at approximately Rs 10 crore each at recent market prices, reflect a deliberate accumulation strategy in the infrastructure and construction space at a time when both stocks have delivered negative returns over the past year. The disclosures emerge from shareholding data filed with the National Stock Exchange at the close of the March quarter.

What the Numbers Reveal About His Conviction

Agrawal, founder of Param Capital Group and a market participant with over two decades of experience, held 5 crore shares of HCC at the end of Q4 FY26. His stake rose from 1.68% in the preceding quarter to 1.91% — a meaningful increase for a company with a market capitalisation of roughly Rs 4,665 crore. At Thursday's closing price of Rs 16.52 per share, the incremental holding is worth close to Rs 10 crore.

In Capacit'e Infraprojects, the picture is similar. His position grew from 51.5 lakh shares, representing a 6.09% stake at the end of Q3 FY26, to 56 lakh shares and a 6.62% stake by the March quarter's close. At Rs 225.28 per share, the 4.5 lakh shares acquired during the quarter are worth just over Rs 10 crore. Agrawal ranks among the largest public shareholders of Capacit'e, alongside Vikas Khemani, who holds a 1.74% stake.

Two Companies, One Sector — and Contrasting Recent Runs

HCC is among India's older and more storied engineering and construction firms, with a portfolio spanning dams, tunnels, bridges, and power infrastructure — hydro, nuclear, and thermal alike. The company's technical depth in complex civil infrastructure projects sets it apart from general contractors, though its financials have historically carried the weight of significant debt. The stock has gained over 15% in the past week, suggesting renewed market interest, but remains down roughly 7% so far in 2026.

Capacit'e Infraprojects occupies a different segment of the construction ecosystem. The company focuses on residential, commercial, and institutional building projects, with concentrated exposure in high-density urban markets including the Mumbai Metropolitan Region, Pune, Gandhinagar, Goa, and the National Capital Region. With a market capitalisation of nearly Rs 1,968 crore, it is considerably smaller than HCC. Its stock has declined over 34% in the past year — a stark contrast to the Nifty's approximately 7% gain over the same period — and is down more than 9% so far this year.

Reading the Logic Behind the Accumulation

When a seasoned investor increases exposure to two underperforming smallcap names in the same sector simultaneously, it typically signals one of two things: a view that the market has mispriced near-term weakness, or an anticipation of sector-specific tailwinds that have yet to be reflected in share prices. India's infrastructure spending trajectory, supported by sustained budgetary allocations toward capital expenditure in recent years, provides a plausible backdrop for such positioning.

Smallcap construction stocks are particularly sensitive to order inflows, government spending cycles, and commodity input costs. When those variables turn unfavourable — or when the broader market sentiment shifts against capital-intensive sectors — these stocks can underperform sharply, as Capacit'e's one-year returns demonstrate. The counter-cyclical nature of Agrawal's purchases suggests he is buying into that weakness rather than chasing momentum.

It is also worth placing the quantum of these purchases in context. At roughly Rs 10 crore each, these are not the kind of additions that would materially move markets or signal distress on the sell side. They represent steady, measured accumulation — the kind of position-building that long-horizon investors typically employ when conviction is high but uncertainty remains.

What Comes Next

Shareholding disclosures for Q4 FY26 are still being published in full, which means additional portfolio changes — either further additions or reductions in other holdings — may emerge as the data becomes more complete. Any further movement in these two positions, or new entries into other construction and infrastructure names, would help clarify whether this represents a broader sectoral thesis or a stock-specific call.

For retail investors who track institutional and high-net-worth portfolios as a signal, Agrawal's moves in HCC and Capacit'e offer a data point — not a directive. Both companies operate in a sector whose fortunes are closely tied to policy execution and public investment cycles, making them inherently higher-risk propositions than their large-cap counterparts. The next few quarters of earnings and order-book data will be the real test of whether this accumulation was well-timed.